Forecasts

Active Forecasts

Forecast Title Placeholder

Last updated: — • Resolution date: —

This is where your forecast summary will go. You can briefly describe the question, the probability you assign, and the key drivers behind your estimate. Each forecast can link to a full writeup or an essay that explains your reasoning in more detail.

Another Forecast Placeholder

Last updated: — • Resolution date: —

Add as many forecasts as you like. This page is meant to be a clean, chronological list of your active predictions, with links to deeper analysis when available.

Resolved Forecasts

Once a forecast resolves, you can move it here along with a short explanation of what you learned, how your reasoning performed, and what you would update going forward. This is where you demonstrate calibration, humility, and growth — all traits employers value in analysts.